Sunday, 23 July 2017

Swing Trading Setups 23072017

1) AXISBANK:  It has broken out of 4 month long consolidation.  Seems prices are getting accepted above BO level.  Now two ways to enter in this stock.  One, buy above 544.20 or on pull back at 535-530 area.  SL below 500 and targets 580-600-613-638.

2) DRREDDY:  Seems poised for a big breakout above 2780.  Trade this breakout whenever happens for short term gains.

3) ITC:  It is now pulling back to its earlier breakout level. It can be bought in the region of 270-285 with SL 255 and short term target 320-340-355.

4) COALINDIA:  On weekly chart, it has taken support at 4 year old level and reversed.  It can be bought at CMP of 262.35 keeping a SL below 238 targeting the level above 300 in the short term.

(This post is for educational purpose only demonstrating application of price action trading concepts to real time charts.  It is not a buy/sell recommendation in any form.)

Friday, 21 July 2017

This is how my day starts for stock trading

Here is the screenshot of my terminal which I use to screen stocks for trading in the morning session. This is just to give you an idea what kind of screen or charts that I keep looking at during the day.   No AFL or fancy charting software.  Here I just try to keep all the information like Nifty level, number of advancing and declining stocks, intraday and historical charts and cash and future stock watch lists, in one single screen.

I start my day at 8 o'clock in the morning by watching TV for potential news flow and its likely impact on the stocks and sectors.  This will give me a list of stocks and sectors where I can expect potential price moves because of news. At around 8:30 am I will start my PC and set up the screen.  I will then go through short term and long term charts of around 50 stocks that are in my watch list and mark the levels.  I will also spend some time analyzing the Nifty and Bank Nifty charts and big picture.  Now around 9:10 am I am ready with my homework and trade plan.  I am aware of the news flow and technical setup of the stocks.  I then just wait for the market to open.  Once it starts to trade, I keep going through the charts one by one looking for my kind of setups to trade based on price action.  For example, today I could spot a good setup in ASIANPAINT.  It was breaking out some sort of consolidation at the open in expectation of good quarterly results that is going to be announced on Tuesday, 25th July.  It gave the profit of Rs. 5600.  Here is its intraday chart,

In short, it requires me to start my day at least an hour early so that I can start trading once the market opens.  It is not like I just come to screen at 9:15 am and start to trade.  It requires to do all the planning and be aware of current market trend, sentiment, news flow, volatility and technical setups.

My charts are always clean.  There are no indicators or moving averages.  Only price and volume are there on the chart.

Once the potential trade setup is found, it again requires to put trend, sentiment, news flow, volatility etc together and make final decision to trade.  After making the decision to trade, again it requires to patiently wait for the setup to trigger and enter at proper level.  If it does not allow to enter or does not trigger, need to find some another setup.  So this is how the cycle repeats and I normally end up taking 2 to 3 trades in the morning session.

Here are the trades that I ended up taking this month so far, click here.

I not only trade for myself in stock futures but also share setups with precise entry and exit levels in advance so that other traders can also trade in them along with me.  I don't just stop there.  I go one setup further and help them better manage the trade to maximize profit.  Also if someone is really interested, can even learn all the tricks and methods of trading from me.

I hope every reader of this blog will appreciate my genuine and honest endeavor to make intraday trading profitable for everyone.

Nifty Future 21072017

It opened within previous day's range and tried to break PDC but failed.  This gave a nice BOF setup to go long as marked.  This moved well.  In afternoon once the prices started trading below BRN and PDC LOD was not able to hold the prices, a short was possible as BPB of PDC LOD.  This also moved well.  After that V shape reversal happened which was difficult to catch.  Once the prices got accepted above PDL, a long was possible as BPB of PDL which also moved well.

Today it was a bit volatile and hence generated good number of setups to trade and benefit out of the volatility.  Hope you all enjoyed Nifty trading today.

Thursday, 20 July 2017

Patience makes money

Today I want to emphasize the need for patience, time and emotional construct for making money in the stock market.  There is no denial of the fact that longer we are able to hold the trade, more the possibility of making money from it.  Once we take the trade, we need to give it enough time to move and patiently wait for that move to occur.  Not allowing enough time and exiting early with small profit will never make money in the long run.

I share with you real time trades taken in AXISBANK Future and MARUTI future today as an example.  It was possible for us to enter at the right level.  After the entry both the trades immediately started to move in favor and rewarded handsomely in a very short time.  Exits were made at the predefined target levels.  However, I must say that both these trades had the potential to make the profit of Rs. 22600 in a single day from one lot if the trades were allowed maximum time, i.e. till close of the day.  Here are the charts,

One important thing to note about these kind of perfect trades is that they never test the entry level for rest of the day.  Also these trades most likely will move in one direction only throughout the day, i.e. type 1 trend day.

So whenever we realize we have taken a perfect trade like this, we just need to sit tight, wait patiently and allow it enough time to move for maximum profits out of it. 

Wednesday, 19 July 2017

Nifty Future 19072017

It traded in a narrow range for most part of the day and once it broke out of PDH BRN, presented a BPB setup to go long which moved some.

Monday, 17 July 2017

Nifty Future 17072017

It opened full gap up and traded in a narrow range.  In afternoon it did break out of this narrow range but lacked momentum and traded in another narrow range.

I have always believed in following the markets and doing what markets want us to do.  I cannot make myself handicap by trading Nifty alone.  As a full time trader I cannot depend on trading only one instrument for my living.  If Nifty does not give a good opportunity to trade why should I blame the Nifty?  Rather I should try to find other trade opportunities elsewhere.  Stocks are providing plenty of setups everyday and very good trade opportunities.

Today I traded in stocks like TECHM and TCS in morning session and HCLTECH in late afternoon which made me more than Rs. 9000 per lot.  If I had decided to trade Nifty alone and never explored stock trading possibility like this, I probably would have ended the day without earning a penny.

If you want to excel in trading, never depend on one or two trading instruments.  You have to have plenty of choices to trade.

Sunday, 16 July 2017

Followup on stocks

In recent past I posted few stock charts with my analysis.  This post is just a follow up on that.

1) Hind Petro:  It was analyzed in post anticipating breakout.  It moved perfectly as expected and within two days reached target price of 390.  This is the power of anticipating breakout and getting much early into the trade.  Now if it starts to get accepted above 390, it can go much higher.

2) Lupin:  It was a sort of catching the falling knife, but it worked well.  Read here.  It also moved as expected and reached target.  Now the next level to watch is 1250 as marked on the chart, provided it is able to hold its recent low.

3) Reliance:  I analyzed this stock in detail in September last year.  Read it here.  At that time it was around 1100.  It did test the patience but once it started to move, it did not look back and now it is trading at 1533 and moving towards 1600.

This is the power of price action trading.  Once you learn it and master it, you will be able to trade not only for intraday gains but also for short and long term gains like this.  There will be no boundary or restrictions of trading like trading time frames or trading instruments. Trade any time frame, any instrument, any market in the world.